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Betting
The Correct Amount Depending On Your Opponent
Copyright © 2008,
RealPokerLessons.com
I played an in-person
poker tournament last night, over a 100 players and got
knocked out number 23, just outside the money. And I really tried to
analyze some of my mistakes that I made, which is something you
should always be doing as well. Maybe not mistakes per se, but spots
that I "could" have done something different, with the reason why.
Here's a few of the plays I made last night that I now regret, or at
least learned something from.
I limped into a hand with 77 in middle position, about 1/3 of the
way through the tournament. Why didn't I raise? Because I had a 2
big stacks at my table that simply would not fold pre-flop to almost
any raise, and I learned through playing with them for a few hours
that if I simply limped in with my small pocket pair, I would be
able to see the flop cheaply (At this point of the tournament, there
was no reason to get too involved).
Anyway, a player moved all in behind me, which I knew there was a
chance, but he didn't have many more chips, so I knew I would call
if he did anyway (In these situations anyway, you know the player is
usually going to have any A, usually A-rag, any 2 over cards, or
possible a pair, but not likely, and you're likely ahead). But the
point is, the reason I didn't raise pre-flop is because of the huge
stacks at the poker table, one of them directly to my left. Yes, I'm
likely ahead of him, but I was looking to hit a set, not try to make
him fold.
Anyway, 3 other players call this guy's all in, so of course I call.
The flop comes: 10-10-3, with 2 spades on the board. The first
player (huge stack #2) checks, I check, and 2 other players check,
while the all in of course can't do anything. The turn is a 6,
non-spade. The huge stack to my right checks again, so I'm thinking
I have the best hand, unless of course the all in has the 10. So I
bet about 1/4 to 1/3 of the pot, as a side pot. Two other players
fold, and the huge stack to my right flat calls. I seen that he
hesitated, which made me more confident. Understand, I paid close
attention to him and the other big stack to try and get some tells
from, and I was sure it was a sincere hesitation, like he really
didn't want to call. This was also for about 10% to 15% of his
stack. So he called. I totally put him on a flush draw since there
was no straight draw on the flop, and I'd seen this player call
ridiculous amounts to chase gut shots.
The river is a 9, non flush card. So the board shows no flush and no
possible straight, only a set or boat, and I'm sure I'm ahead based
on the action. He checks. I bet around 1/4 of the pot, which looks
week but also looks like I'm just trying to get paid off. And that
was my mistake. The guy moans out loud, scratches his head, thinks
for a second, and then calls. He turns over pocket 8's to beat my
pocket 77's. Understand also that if I win the side pot, if he folds
or I win at showdown, I break even if the all in player wins. But I
didn't.
The mistake I made
I had seen this player chase draws big time, way outside of his
odds, so I put him on a draw during the hand, never a pair, based on
the flop and his actions, i.e. check, calls. The mistake I made at
the end of the hand was since I believed he missed his draw, I felt
that any bet would make him go away, even a smaller one, and I was
risking a lot of my stack as well. So I made a play that should only
be made against a good player, by betting smaller. This totally
looks like a value bet, like "if you have anything, you have to
call." Because a good player will lay down his pocket 8's in this
situation a lot of the times, while a bad player will think "I'm
priced in." Understand, even this smaller bet was a lot of chips to
his stack. But a better player also would have folded to the first
bet when I bet almost 1/3 of the pot, with a player already all in.
It just looks so much like "I don't care there's an all in player,
my hand is strong, I'm betting."
The other move I made that could have been different in this hand
was checking the flop. But I was just as scared of the flop as
everyone, and I didn't have enough chips to fire a feeler bet
either. When he checked again on the turn, I was sure I had the
best.
In Conclusion
So here's the deal. Quite simply, you must make your plays against
each player differently. If you think they're a donkey, you cannot
bully them or try to make any type of advanced play against them;
they simply don't understand. They don't see the picture you're
painting. An example could be that you bet an amount that represents
you hit your trips, with the two 10's on board. A bad player thinks
"I have 2 pair, 8's and 10's, I can't fold." But a good player
thinks "He's got trips." So I had already sized this guy up to be a
donkey; my mistake was firing a "low" second barrel. If I had bet a
lot, he might have folded based on his actions, but betting a small
value bet was a mistake against him.
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